Thursday, May 31, 2012

Logic

No one uses logic these days.  Well, almost no one.  Too many people don't even know how to use logic.  Let me give you a lesson in logic.

Let's say, for example, a certain website claims to have 2 million registered users.

Now, let's say that the number of users logged in to this website averages 4000 or thereabouts.  We'll just use even numbers for the sake of example.

We know due to web tracking and hit counters that only about 10-20% of registered site users are actually active on the site.  This holds true for most websites, not just our fictitious one. 

Let's say, for the sake of example, that the owner of the site claiming 2 million members has already admitted to exaggerating the number of registered users.  For what reason, we don't know, but that's irrelevant to our lesson.

Therefore, from the statements made above, and using logic, we can conclude that the claim of 2 million website members is false.  Continuing with our use of logic, and simple mathematics, we can conclude that the actual number of registered members of our hypothetical website is somewhere around 200,000 - 400,000.  Still impressive, but a far cry from 2,000,000. 

There.  Do you see how we used facts, statistics, and our brains to disprove the 2 million member claim of our hypothetical website?

That, my friends, is called logic.

Learn it.  Use it.  Pass it to your children.

You'll be glad you did.

Disclaimer:  The website in this hypothetical situation is purely fictional.  Any resemblance to any website or actual events is entirely coincidental.  

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